signal type · other
export restriction
Every published export restriction signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh export restriction calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
2
published only
direct hit-rate
29%
7 scored predictions
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a export restriction signal?
A export restriction signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged export_restriction by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published export restriction signal
2026-05-29 · SCALEAI · down · low
A Manifold Markets prediction market as of 2026-05-29 shows a 52.72% consensus that US export restrictions will lead to...
2026-05-27 · NVDA · down · low
On May 27, 2026, Bloomberg reported that Taiwan authorities suspect Nvidia chips have been smuggled to China via Japan,...