signal type · other
market sentiment shift
Every published market sentiment shift signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh market sentiment shift calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
3
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a market sentiment shift signal?
A market sentiment shift signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged market_sentiment_shift by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published market sentiment shift signal
2026-07-23 · TSM · up · low
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction contracts uploaded on 2026-07-23 show extremely high consensus probabilities for...
2026-07-05 · TSM · up · low
Multiple Manifold prediction markets indicate high confidence in TSMC's market cap reaching $1 trillion by 2025 (99%)...
2026-06-02 · NVDA · up · medium
As of June 2, 2026, prediction markets on Manifold Markets show extremely bullish consensus on Nvidia's near-term...