signal type · other
new product launch
Every published new product launch signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh new product launch calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
183
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a new product launch signal?
A new product launch signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged new_product_launch by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published new product launch signal
2026-07-16 · AAPL · up · medium
A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
2026-07-15 · AAPL · up · low
Manifold market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' shows 77.34% probability of a YES outcome.
2026-07-15 · AAPL · up · high
A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-15 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold prediction market shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
2026-07-14 · AAPL · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold ( forecasts a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
2026-07-14 · AAPL · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold indicates 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-14 · TCEHY · up · low
Tencent has introduced two new AI products: Hunyuan Hy3, a model that Tencent claims puts it back in the AI race, and...
2026-07-13 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold Markets prediction shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-13 · AAPL · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-13 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold Markets prediction shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source)....
2026-07-12 · AAPL · up · medium
A Manifold prediction market ( indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-12 · AAPL · up · medium
A Manifold market asks: 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' with a current consensus of YES=77.34%...
2026-07-12 · BYTEDANCE · up · low
ByteDance is nearing the launch of the second-generation Doubao AI smartphone, developed in collaboration with Nubia,...
2026-07-12 · AAPL · up · low
Based on a Manifold prediction market, there is a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
2026-07-12 · AAPL · up · medium
Source: Manifold market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' shows 77.34% YES probability ( This...
2026-07-11 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold market (source: indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-11 · BYTEDANCE · up · medium
ByteDance has released Seedream 5.0 Pro, a major update to its image generation model.
2026-07-11 · AMD · up · medium
AMD has confirmed that its next-generation Zen 6 architecture will launch in less than two weeks, starting with the...
2026-07-11 · MSFT · up · medium
Microsoft has released Flint, a visualization language for AI agents, as announced on Hacker News on July 8, 2026.
2026-07-10 · AAPL · up · medium
A Manifold prediction market places a 77.34% probability on Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source:...
2026-07-10 · AAPL · up · medium
Signal: Apple AI chip for iPhones
2026-07-10 · SAMSUNG · up · low
A Reddit post citing Korean media reports that Samsung has begun sampling its new Exynos GAIA laptop chip, which is...
2026-07-10 · XAI · up · low
xAI (branded as SpaceXAI in some sources) has released Grok 4.5, described as its first Opus-class model, according to...
2026-07-10 · AMZN · neutral · low
On July 9, 2026, AWS published a blog post detailing new enterprise inference capabilities for SageMaker HyperPod,...
2026-07-10 · AAPL · up · medium
A Manifold market shows 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-09 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold Markets prediction market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
2026-07-09 · AAPL · up · high
A Manifold market shows 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-09 · AAPL · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-09 · AMD · up · low
On July 8, 2026, AMD's CTO Mark Papermaster announced in an interview that the company will launch a new generation...
2026-07-09 · XAI · up · low
SpaceXAI has launched Grok 4.5, its first model since going public and acquiring Cursor.
2026-07-09 · BYTEDANCE · up · low
ByteDance has announced two new AI models: Seedream 5.0 Pro for image generation and Seedance for video generation.
2026-07-08 · IBM · up · high
On July 7, 2026, IBM announced the expansion of its z17 and LinuxONE 5 mainframe portfolios with new rack-mount and...
2026-07-08 · XAI · up · medium
SpaceXAI, the AI venture led by Elon Musk, is accelerating its product roadmap.
2026-07-08 · AMAT · up · low
Applied Materials (AMAT) recently disclosed its Q2 2026 financials via SEC filing, reporting revenue of $14.266B and...
2026-07-08 · BYTEDANCE · up · medium
ByteDance's Seedance video generation model has reportedly reached 90% gross margins, according to a Digitimes report...
2026-07-08 · TCEHY · up · low
On July 7, 2026, Tencent launched Hunyuan Hy3, a new reasoning model built on a Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture...
2026-07-08 · OPENAI · up · medium
OpenAI announced that GPT-5.6 Sol, along with Terra and Luna, will launch publicly on Thursday after the US Department...
2026-07-07 · TCEHY · neutral · low
On July 7, 2026, Tencent launched Hunyuan Hy3, a new AI reasoning model integrating both fast and slow thinking, built...
2026-07-07 · AMD · neutral · medium
On July 6, 2026, AMD launched the Ryzen AI Halo, a turn-key local AI developer system powered by the Ryzen AI Max+ 395...
2026-07-06 · AAPL · up · low
A single prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for...
2026-07-06 · MU · up · medium
At Computex 2026, Micron showcased its first PCIe Gen6 data center SSD, the 9650, as reported by ServeTheHome on July...
2026-07-06 · AMD · up · medium
AMD has launched the EPYC 8005 "Sorano" processor family, offering up to 84 cores at 225W with lower cost and lower...
2026-07-06 · AAPL · up · medium
A prediction market on Manifold shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-05 · AAPL · up · medium
A Manifold prediction market gives a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-05 · AAPL · up · low
A Manifold prediction market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-05 · AMAT · up · medium
Applied Materials has announced new integrated tools designed to scale up HBM, chiplet, and 3D packaging production, as...
2026-07-05 · AMD · up · low
AMD has introduced the EPYC 8005 'Sorano' processor family, offering up to 84 cores at a 225W TDP.
2026-07-04 · AAPL · up · low
The prediction market on Manifold shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
2026-07-04 · AAPL · up · medium
A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones...
2026-07-04 · HUGGINGFACE · up · low
Hugging Face has released a major version update of its transformers library, now at 5.13.0, as indicated by the PyPI...