markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=20.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Egypt leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket