markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=31.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=62.81%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=9.80%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?': YES=4.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVDA (Nvidia) close April 2026 above $170?': YES=97.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.75%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=25.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%