markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=90.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=96.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket