markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-03Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-3.5)': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=25.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=84.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=36.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket