markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-03Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=18.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=28.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-3.5)': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=63.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=95.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=93.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-4.5)': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket