markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%
MSFTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Spurs vs. Knicks
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Knicks': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket