markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-06Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Spurs vs. Knicks
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Knicks': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket