markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Brazil (-1.5)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=23.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 29?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=95.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket