markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.65%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=65.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=23.20%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=19.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.05%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5': YES=99.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigur': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?': YES=0.90%