markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket