markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-05Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Miami Marlins vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Athletics': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket