markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket