markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-14Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=72.17%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=0.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=54.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=5.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=54.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket