markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=52.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderi': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Spread: England (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=33.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=67.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=15.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=95.30%
market:polymarket