markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: England (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-3.5)': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'England leading at halftime?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=94.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrov': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: England (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=3.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=51.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket