markets

Manifold consensus on '6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.': YES=60.62%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA release an RTX 5080 Ti?': YES=10.08%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?': YES=74.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?': YES=72.90%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=78.47%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=51.57%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Granby: Erika Sema vs Cadence Brace': YES=6.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=94.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=34.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=10.70%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?': YES=4.60%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%