markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?': YES=97.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=57.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket