markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 5.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals': YES=7.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=76.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: France O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: France O/U 1.5': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 - Map 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=91.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=51.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: France O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: France O/U 2.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=41.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=47.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket