markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,683 events on 2026-07-18role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-07-18Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu
Polymarket top market 'Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=29.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=96.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket