markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-19New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=43.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=74.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=92.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Lanlana Tararudee': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=8.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=6.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=23.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ODI Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=31.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=69.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=41.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket