markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winner': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Joint': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=45.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=76.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=29.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halys': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=92.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket