markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-22Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?': YES=45.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=10.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=26.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=23.90%
market:polymarket