markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-23Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=23.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=49.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=75.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket