markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-23Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=14.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=0.10%
TLNmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-23Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=44.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=25.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=58.50%
market:polymarket