markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.04%

Polymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?': YES=88.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=2.40%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25?': YES=98.70%

Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk': YES=4.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=12.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?': YES=94.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=88.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=8.50%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=4.50%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=60.00%