markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.20%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-24Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=72.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=25.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
Polymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi': YES=17.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=73.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket