markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=48.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=82.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket