markets

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Nvidia?': YES=37.78%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=68.19%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=97.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-24?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=98.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27?': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?': YES=92.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=71.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=32.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin': YES=91.00%