markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Nvidia?': YES=38.71%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PuckChamp vs KW - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.60%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=46.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=56.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group C': YES=99.90%