markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-30Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=9.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Vancouver: Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikori': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=92.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket