markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=96.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket