markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?': YES=46.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?': YES=38.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=97.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket