markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=37.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shang': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Spread: FK Zenit (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: FK Zenit (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket