markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-03Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonova': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-08-03?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket