markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=21.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=53.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=19.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?': YES=96.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=23.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket