markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=10.00%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Mukund Sasikumar': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=39.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=75.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket