markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-09?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-09?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Level UP vs MOUZ (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket