markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-09Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-08?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-08-09?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=60.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-08?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-08?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-08?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-08-08?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-09Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?
Polymarket top market 'Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-09O/U 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket top market 'O/U 2.5 Rounds': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket