markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-11New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?': YES=8.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Todi: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Soon-Woo Kwon': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket