markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ITF M25 East Lansing Men: James McCabe vs Noah Zamora': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-12?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=11.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket