markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=18.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket