markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: University of Mississippi vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket