markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Tristan Schoolkate': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata win on 2026-08-18?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Li
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Li': YES=94.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winner': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?': YES=14.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wang': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery
Polymarket top market 'Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=32.80%
market:polymarket