markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 20?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=77.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?': YES=7.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?': YES=45.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?': YES=53.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?': YES=29.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?': YES=44.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=37.40%
market:polymarket