markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=57.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=14.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=21.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-23Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-23Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket