markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=55.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket