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Cross-source convergence

Entities hit by ≥ 2 distinct sources in the last 24h. The strongest pre-news pattern in the system: when news, Reddit, EDGAR, IR, and prediction markets fire on the same name within hours, something is happening. Not investment advice — surface for triage, not for trading.

window6h 12h 24h 48h 72hmin sources≥2 ≥3 ≥4 ≥5

NVDANVIDIA Corporationgpu

3 sources213 events4h ago

market:manifoldgdelt:nvdamarket:polymarket

attention · 30d193,452 views6,448/day avg7d vs prior: +9%

market · polymarketWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?85%new

market:manifoldChina arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips4h ago
market:manifoldWill Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldWill Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)4h ago

AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Incgpu

3 sources18 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:AMDgdelt:amd

attention · 30d46,168 views1,539/day avg7d vs prior: +1%

market · manifoldWill the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?2%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldAMD's discrete GPU market share increases in Q2 2025?4h ago
market:manifoldWill the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?8h ago

0981.HKSemiconductor Manufacturing Intl Corpfoundrydivergence

3 sources16 events4h ago

market:manifoldhkex:00981gdelt:smic

attention · 30d8,093 views270/day avg7d vs prior: -12%

market · manifoldWill China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?19%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?4h ago
market:manifoldWill China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?4h ago
market:manifoldWill China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?8h ago

TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Cofoundry

2 sources106 events4h ago

market:manifoldyoutube:TaiwanPlus News

attention · 30d61,064 views2,035/day avg7d vs prior: -7%

market · manifoldWill TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?95%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldUS bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?4h ago
market:manifoldWill TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldWill TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?4h ago

ASMLASML Holding NVsemicap

2 sources78 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:ASML

attention · 30d8,186 views273/day avg7d vs prior: +1%

market · manifoldWill ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?80%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldDoes China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)4h ago
market:manifoldWill ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldWill ASML's revenue increase every year for the next 5 years?4h ago

HUGGINGFACEHugging Face Inc.software

2 sources75 events21h ago

huggingface:modelhuggingface:dataset

attention · 30d24,706 views824/day avg7d vs prior: -7%

huggingface:datasetHugging Face dataset: Orannue/dataset21h ago
huggingface:datasetHugging Face dataset: iozxv/iud21h ago
huggingface:datasetHugging Face dataset: 0xKai/casinodataxd-core021h ago

ANTHROPICAnthropic PBCsoftware

2 sources52 events4h ago

market:manifoldgdelt:anthropic

attention · 30d767,684 views25,589/day avg7d vs prior: +4%

market · manifoldWill Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?40%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?4h ago
market:manifoldWill any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldWill Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?4h ago

INTCIntel Corporationgpu

2 sources29 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:INTC

attention · 30d62,438 views2,081/day avg7d vs prior: -5%

market · manifoldWill Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?27%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?4h ago
market:manifoldTesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 20264h ago
market:manifoldWill there be a joint venture chip foundry between TSMC and Intel? 🇺🇸🦾🤖💻4h ago

MSFTMicrosoft Corporationhyperscaler

2 sources29 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:MSFT

attention · 30d338,012 views11,267/day avg7d vs prior: +3%

market · manifoldWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?36%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?4h ago
market:manifoldWill Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?4h ago
market:manifoldWill MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?4h ago

AMATApplied Materials Inc.semicap

2 sources18 events21h ago

ir:AMATgdelt:amat

attention · 30d16,742 views558/day avg7d vs prior: -8%

CERECerebras Systemsgpu

2 sources8 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:CERE

attention · 30d3,200 views107/day avg7d vs prior: -22%

market · manifoldWill Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?4%+0.0 pp

market:manifoldWill Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?4h ago
market:manifoldWill Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?8h ago
market:manifoldWill Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?12h ago

ETCHEDEtched AIasic

2 sources8 events4h ago

market:manifoldir:ETCHED

market:manifoldWill the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?4h ago
market:manifoldWill the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?8h ago
market:manifoldWill the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?12h ago

BABAAlibaba Grouphyperscaler

2 sources2 events16h ago

hkex:09988ir:BABA

attention · 30d50,144 views1,671/day avg7d vs prior: -8%

hkex:09988HKEX filings — BABA (09988) 2026071516h ago
ir:BABABABA IR snapshot21h ago

BIDUBaidu Inc.hyperscaler

2 sources2 events16h ago

hkex:09888ir:BIDU

attention · 30d27,286 views910/day avg7d vs prior: -1%

hkex:09888HKEX filings — BIDU (09888) 2026071516h ago
ir:BIDUBIDU IR snapshot21h ago

TCEHYTencent Holdingshyperscaler

2 sources2 events16h ago

hkex:00700ir:TCEHY

attention · 30d65,794 views2,193/day avg7d vs prior: +5%

hkex:00700HKEX filings — TCEHY (00700) 2026071516h ago
ir:TCEHYTCEHY IR snapshot21h ago