markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=97.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?': YES=21.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?': YES=30.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance': YES=66.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket